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2024-12-13 22:52:29

Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.IDC: The recovery of China's financial cloud market in the first half of 2024 was less than expected. According to the latest report "Tracking China's financial cloud market in the first half of 2024" released by IDC, the scale of China's financial cloud market in the first half of 2024 reached US$ 4.40 billion, up 7.3% year-on-year, and it was RMB 31.67 billion, up 11.5% year-on-year, achieving double-digit growth, but the growth rate was high. In the financial cloud sub-market, the cloud infrastructure market has picked up from the previous month, but the situation of financial institutions reducing costs and increasing efficiency has continued, and the overall development speed of the cloud solution market has further slowed down. From the overall situation of the financial cloud market in 2024, the financial cloud market in China is in a period of adjustment, and the development trend of each sub-market continues to differentiate.The South Korean prosecutor summoned Guo Zhonggen, the commander of the special operations before the investigation. On the 13th local time, the South Korean prosecutor summoned Guo Zhonggen, the commander of the special operations before the investigation.


Macao held a public sacrifice ceremony to mourn the victims of the Nanjing Massacre, and December 13th, 2024 was the 11th national public sacrifice day for the victims of the Nanjing Massacre. On the morning of the same day, the Macao SAR Government held a ceremony at the Institute of Environmental Protection and Security Forces, deeply mourning the victims of the Nanjing Massacre and all the compatriots killed by the Japanese aggressors. (CCTV)Russia asked Ukraine to open a humanitarian passage in the Ukrainian-occupied area of Kursk. According to the Tass news agency, Russian Commissioner for Human Rights mosca Likova said in Minsk, the capital of Belarus, on the 12th that Russia had asked Ukraine to open a humanitarian passage for the civilians in the Ukrainian-occupied area of Kursk to evacuate to a safe area. Mosca Likova said that there are about 1,500 to 2,000 civilians in Uzhan District of Kursk State, who usually take refuge in destroyed houses or basements of houses.On the 13th, local time, the South Korean prosecutor summoned Guo Zhonggen, the commander of the special operations before the investigation.


More than eight members of parliament from South Korea's ruling party supported the impeachment of Yin Xiyue.CICC: It is expected that the central bank will further set up other new monetary instruments in the future. CICC said that on the basis of Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party, the policy objectives and directions of the Central Economic Work Conference have been further stated. For next year's economic goals, after "maintaining stable economic growth", the meeting proposed to "maintain overall stability in employment and prices" and pointed out that "we should pay attention to target guidance and strive to achieve an optimal combination of stable growth, stable employment and reasonable price recovery". In terms of monetary policy, CICC believes that this meeting clearly pointed out that "timely RRR cuts and interest rate cuts". It is expected that in order to meet the government bond issuance, credit supply and seasonal liquidity demand, the RRR cut may be implemented before the Spring Festival, and the interest rate cut may also be gradually promoted with the Fed's interest rate cut. CICC also judged that in the past period, the central bank has established new monetary instruments such as treasury bonds trading tools, securities fund insurance company exchange facilities, and affordable housing refinancing, and its ability to play a role in the stock, bond, real estate and other markets has been strengthened, and other new instruments may be further established in the future. (SSE)Thailand's finance minister said that Thailand is expected to levy the lowest corporate tax in the world from January 2025.

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